Nancy hopes to stay undefeated

Soccer Betting Lines

09/14/2007 - Lorraine, France (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Nancy will try to continue its undefeated start on Saturday when it travels to the Stade Felix-Bollaert to play Lens.

On paper, this match looks to be very lopsided. Nancy sits in first place of the Ligue 1 table with 16 points, while Lens is second from the bottom with two points.

While Nancy has outscored its opponents, 13-4, in the early going, Lens has only found the back of the net once all season.

The only thing that Nancy has against them going into Saturday's match is that it might be without striker Kim. The Brazilian has been battling with the flu all week, and will be a game-time decision.

With Nancy stealing the spotlight in Ligue 1 this year, defending six-time league champions Lyon knows it must step up its game.

After dropping two of its first three games, Alain Perrin's side has rebounded to win its last three and is now looking to continue that streak at the Stade St Symphorien on Saturday against last-place Metz.

Metz has scored a league-low one goal through seven matches, and is one of three teams still searching for that first elusive victory.

In other matches on Saturday: Marseille is trying to find its form when it welcomes Toulouse to town; Auxerre is at home where it will attempt to avoid a league-high seventh loss versus Nice; Valenciennes will travel south to play Le Mans. Valenciennes has been a surprise this season, and with a victory, can take over the top spot; Frederic Hantz might be playing for his job when Sochaux plays Strasbourg at the Stade Auguste Bonal; St. Etienne can move to the .500 mark with a victory over Caen; Bordeaux seeks its fifth win in eight outings when it travels to Lille.

Ligue 1 will conclude with a pair of matches on Sunday. In the battle of Brittany, Lorient will be up against Rennes, and PSG will hope to collect the full three points for only the second time this season when it travels to Monaco. PSG leads the league with five draws as it sits on the bottom half of the table.

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Betting Football

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Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.